AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
0%
BLACKHAWKS
100%
RED WINGS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1 goal
19.4%
DET By 2-3 goals
33.3%
CHI By 1 goal
9.8%
CHI By 2-3 goals
6.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.58
DETROIT
Chicago
2.18
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blackhawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
DET @ CHI
4 - 0
Nov 9, 2025
CHI @ DET
5 - 1
Sep 30, 2025
DET @ CHI
3 - 1
Sep 23, 2025
CHI @ DET
2 - 3
Jan 10, 2025
CHI @ DET
3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+25.1% more
Detroit: 30.5
vs
Chicago: 22.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.1% more
Detroit: 15.8
vs
Chicago: 13.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.9%
Detroit: 43.1%
vs
Chicago: 41.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+47.6% more
Chicago: 2.5
vs
Detroit: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.6
3
CHI Score
2.2
1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
DET
CHI
DET
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2-1
0%
0-3
67%
2-1-1
33%
1-2