Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech WAKE @ VT

WAKE FOREST

WAKE FORESTWAKE

2-2  |  Road

30
FINAL
Sat, Oct 4 • 1:00 PM ET
Lane Stadium
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA TECH

VIRGINIA TECHVT

2-3  |  Home

23
Key Game
Connor Calvert
KEY GAME

Connor Calvert

#90 | Place kicker
@
John Love
KEY GAME

John Love

#17 | Place kicker
Player
Connor Calvert None-None
John Love None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WAKE FOREST
0%
📊
VIRGINIA TECH
100%
WAKE FOREST --
VIRGINIA TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
23.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wake Forest)
Wake ForestWAKE (-3.5) 0 Virginia TechVT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wake Forest Cover

52.8%

Virginia Tech Cover

47.2%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around WAKE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)

WAKE By 1-6 points

16.7%

WAKE By 7-13 points

16.1%

VT By 1-6 points

16.1%

VT By 7-13 points

14.6%

AI Model Projected Score
12
WAKE FOREST
11
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
24
WAKE FOREST
27
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wake Forest Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Virginia Tech Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wake Forest (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
C
Sim Virginia Tech (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 23.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 4, 2025 WAKE @ VT 30 - 23
Oct 14, 2023 WAKE @ VT 13 - 30
Oct 24, 2020 VT @ WAKE 16 - 23
Nov 9, 2019 WAKE @ VT 17 - 36
Nov 22, 2014 VT @ WAKE 3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +28.3% more
Wake Forest: 1.3 vs Virginia Tech: 0.9
First Downs (L5) +14.1% more
Virginia Tech: 20.8 vs Wake Forest: 18.2
Rushing Yards (L5) +9.0% more
Virginia Tech: 173.1 vs Wake Forest: 158.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAKE Score 12.0 30
VT Score 11.0 23
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.8 / 18.2 16.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 173.1 / 158.9 152.0 / 91.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.41 / 0.35
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 392.7 / 393.4 263.0 / 347.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 1.3 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAKE
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 13.6 ATS +/-: +10.9
VT
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 21.4 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAKE
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.6 ATS +/-: +10.9
VT
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 21.4 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WAKE
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +5.7
VT
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
WAKE
VT
WAKE
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
ATS
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
20% 1-4
80% 4-1
TTL
20% 1-4
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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