TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECHTTU
4-0 | Road
35
HOUSTON
HOUSTONHOU
4-0 | Home
11
Key Game
KEY GAME
Corey Platt Jr.
#9 | Linebacker@
KEY GAME
Myles Parker
#98 | Defensive Lineman| Player | |
|---|---|
| Corey Platt Jr. | None-None |
| Myles Parker | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TEXAS TECH
100%
HOUSTON
0%
TEXAS TECH
--
HOUSTON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
56.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around HOU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
TTU By 1-6 points
7.9%
TTU By 7-13 points
4.7%
HOU By 1-6 points
12.9%
HOU By 7-13 points
19.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas Tech
21
TEXAS TECH
Houston
35
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Texas Tech
24
TEXAS TECH
Houston
27
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Houston
Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Houston
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Houston (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Sim
Houston (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 56.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 18, 2026
HOU @ TTU
26 - 28
Oct 4, 2025
TTU @ HOU
35 - 11
Sep 30, 2023
HOU @ TTU
28 - 49
Sep 10, 2022
HOU @ TTU
30 - 33
Sep 4, 2021
TTU @ HOU
38 - 21
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+40.3% more
Texas Tech: 1.6
vs
Houston: 1.0
Total Yards (L5)
+33.8% more
Texas Tech: 540.5
vs
Houston: 358.0
First Downs (L5)
+33.2% more
Texas Tech: 25.7
vs
Houston: 17.2
Rushing Yards (L5)
+20.3% more
Texas Tech: 183.4
vs
Houston: 146.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TTU Score
21.0
35
HOU Score
35.0
11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
17.2 / 25.7
12.0 / 27.0
Rushing Yards
146.1 / 183.4
103.0 / 207.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.5
0.08 / 0.5
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.37 / 0.63
Total Yards
358.0 / 540.5
267.0 / 552.0
Turnovers
1.0 / 1.6
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU
Advantage
5-0-0
(100.0%)
Margin: 18.6
ATS +/-: -6.5
HOU
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 21.2
ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 18.6
ATS +/-: -6.5
HOU
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 21.2
ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0%
Total +/-: -3.5
HOU
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0%
Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
TTU
HOU
TTU
ML
100%
5-0
100%
5-0
80%
4-1
100%
5-0
ATS
40%
2-3
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
TTL
60%
3-2
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
40%
2-3
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