AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
PANTHERS
0%
HURRICANES
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
CAR By 1 goal
9.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
5.9%
FLA By 1 goal
19.1%
FLA By 2-3 goals
34.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
2.86
CAROLINA
Florida
4.38
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.5
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 0
Jan 16, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 9
Dec 23, 2025
FLA @ CAR
5 - 2
Sep 29, 2025
CAR @ FLA
3 - 4
Sep 24, 2025
FLA @ CAR
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+41.0% more
Florida: 34.0
vs
Carolina: 24.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.4% more
Florida: 15.9
vs
Carolina: 12.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.7% more
Florida: 27.9
vs
Carolina: 25.4
Power Play % (L5)
+4.1%
Florida: 16.0%
vs
Carolina: 12.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
2.9
3
FLA Score
4.4
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
CAR
FLA
CAR
ML
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
0%
0-4
25%
1-3