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NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, Sep 29 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

0-0-0  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
📊
ISLANDERS
100%
RANGERS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (New York)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

82.1%

Islanders Cover

17.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)

NYR By 1 goal

18.1%

NYR By 2-3 goals

36.4%

NYI By 1 goal

7.4%

NYI By 2-3 goals

4.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4.03
NEW YORK
2.19
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rangers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rangers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.8
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 NYI @ NYR 2 - 5
Jan 29, 2026 NYI @ NYR 2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026 NYR @ NYI 2 - 5
Dec 27, 2025 NYR @ NYI 0 - 2
Nov 8, 2025 NYI @ NYR 5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +26.6% more
New York: 2.6 vs New York: 1.9
Power Play % (L5) +11.9%
New York: 18.9% vs New York: 7.0%
Blocked Shots (L5) +29.6% more
New York: 17.5 vs New York: 13.5
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.4% more
New York: 33.4 vs New York: 26.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 4.0 3
NYI Score 2.2 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
NYR
NYI
NYR
ML
67% 2-1
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
40% 2-3
ATS
33% 1-2
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
TTL
100% 2-0-1
60% 3-2
100% 2-0-1
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 6 hours, 59 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 12 hours, 59 minutes ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 12 hours ago