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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

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FINAL
Mon, Sep 29 • 10:00 PM ET
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SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

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1
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
📊
KRAKEN
100%
FLAMES --
KRAKEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Calgary)
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 KrakenSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

61.4%

Kraken Cover

38.6%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

CGY By 1 goal

19.3%

CGY By 2-3 goals

25.1%

SEA By 1 goal

14.5%

SEA By 2-3 goals

12.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2.75
CALGARY
2.17
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
2
CALGARY
3
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kraken Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flames (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim Kraken (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 4, 2026 CGY @ SEA 1 - 6
Oct 1, 2026 SEA @ CGY 6 - 1
Apr 11, 2026 CGY @ SEA 1 - 4
Jan 5, 2026 SEA @ CGY 5 - 1
Dec 18, 2025 SEA @ CGY 2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.6% more
Calgary: 30.1 vs Seattle: 26.3
Faceoff % (L5) +4.4%
Calgary: 51.0% vs Seattle: 46.6%
Power Play % (L5) +4.3%
Calgary: 32.5% vs Seattle: 28.2%
Blocked Shots (L5) +27.4% more
Seattle: 18.9 vs Calgary: 14.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 2.8 2
SEA Score 2.2 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
CGY
SEA
CGY
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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