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VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Sep 28 • 8:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

0-0-0  |  Home

4
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
📊
OILERS
0%
CANUCKS --
OILERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Edmonton)
CanucksVAN (-3.5) 0 OilersEDM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canucks Cover

26.4%

Oilers Cover

73.6%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

VAN By 1 goal

10.6%

VAN By 2-3 goals

7.5%

EDM By 1 goal

19.6%

EDM By 2-3 goals

32.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2.38
VANCOUVER
3.64
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
3
VANCOUVER
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim Oilers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 1, 2026 EDM @ VAN 9 - 7
Sep 29, 2026 VAN @ EDM 6 - 5
Apr 16, 2026 VAN @ EDM 1 - 6
Jan 17, 2026 EDM @ VAN 6 - 0
Oct 26, 2025 EDM @ VAN 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +78.3% more
Edmonton: 18.5 vs Vancouver: 10.4
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.3% more
Edmonton: 30.2 vs Vancouver: 24.3
Faceoff % (L5) +2.3%
Edmonton: 47.6% vs Vancouver: 45.3%
Takeaways (L5) +41.1% more
Vancouver: 2.6 vs Edmonton: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 2.4 3
EDM Score 3.6 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
VAN
EDM
VAN
ML
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
ATS
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
TTL
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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