DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
0-0-0 | Road
2
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
0-0-0 | Home
5
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
SABRES
0%
RED WINGS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
DET By 1 goal
17.2%
DET By 2-3 goals
17.9%
BUF By 1 goal
17.8%
BUF By 2-3 goals
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.38
DETROIT
Buffalo
3.45
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 27, 2026
DET @ BUF
5 - 2
Nov 15, 2025
BUF @ DET
5 - 4
Oct 22, 2025
DET @ BUF
2 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
DET @ BUF
2 - 5
Sep 25, 2025
BUF @ DET
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.0%
Buffalo: 48.0%
vs
Detroit: 43.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+24.5% more
Detroit: 2.7
vs
Buffalo: 2.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.5% more
Detroit: 15.8
vs
Buffalo: 12.8
Power Play % (L5)
+7.6%
Detroit: 23.0%
vs
Buffalo: 15.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.4
2
BUF Score
3.5
5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
DET
BUF
DET
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
Alex Ovechkin Announces Final NHL Season: Capitals Legend Set fo…
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets