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CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

0-0-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Sep 27 • 7:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

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2
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
BLACKHAWKS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (St. Louis)
BlackhawksCHI (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blackhawks Cover

28.8%

Blues Cover

71.2%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

CHI By 1 goal

11.4%

CHI By 2-3 goals

8.5%

STL By 1 goal

19.7%

STL By 2-3 goals

30.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2.64
CHICAGO
3.76
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
CHICAGO
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim Blues (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 STL @ CHI 2 - 4
Apr 11, 2026 STL @ CHI 5 - 3
Jan 7, 2026 STL @ CHI 3 - 7
Dec 12, 2025 CHI @ STL 2 - 3
Oct 15, 2025 CHI @ STL 8 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +54.7% more
St. Louis: 36.1 vs Chicago: 23.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +47.9% more
St. Louis: 20.0 vs Chicago: 13.5
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.1% more
St. Louis: 25.6 vs Chicago: 22.9
Faceoff % (L5) +10.5%
St. Louis: 51.7% vs Chicago: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 2.6 4
STL Score 3.8 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
CHI
STL
CHI
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
ATS
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 1-1-1
33% 1-2-1
50% 1-1-1
67% 2-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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