DALLAS
STARSDAL
0-0-0 | Road
1
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
0-0-0 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
STARS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
DAL By 1 goal
15.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
14.8%
COL By 1 goal
18.8%
COL By 2-3 goals
22.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
1.94
DALLAS
Colorado
2.31
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
COL @ DAL
2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026
DAL @ COL
2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026
COL @ DAL
5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
DAL @ COL
5 - 4
Oct 4, 2025
COL @ DAL
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+185.7% more
Colorado: 6.2
vs
Dallas: 2.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+41.2% more
Colorado: 34.5
vs
Dallas: 24.4
Hits (L5)
+28.6% more
Colorado: 37.6
vs
Dallas: 29.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.7% more
Colorado: 15.1
vs
Dallas: 13.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
1.9
1
COL Score
2.3
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
DAL
COL
DAL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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