COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
0-0-0 | Road
1
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
0-0-0 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
PENGUINS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
CBJ By 1 goal
11.5%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
8.6%
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
30.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2.99
COLUMBUS
Pittsburgh
4.09
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
CBJ @ PIT
4 - 3
Jan 4, 2026
PIT @ CBJ
5 - 4
Nov 28, 2025
PIT @ CBJ
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+57.5% more
Pittsburgh: 3.3
vs
Columbus: 2.1
Power Play % (L5)
+22.5%
Pittsburgh: 42.8%
vs
Columbus: 20.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.9%
Pittsburgh: 51.1%
vs
Columbus: 46.2%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.8% more
Columbus: 13.6
vs
Pittsburgh: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.0
1
PIT Score
4.1
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
CBJ
PIT
CBJ
ML
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-2
Contextual Game News
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