CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
0-0-0 | Road
2
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
0-0-0 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
JETS
0%
FLAMES
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
CGY By 1 goal
13.1%
CGY By 2-3 goals
10.7%
WPG By 1 goal
19.7%
WPG By 2-3 goals
27.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.23
CALGARY
Winnipeg
3.06
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
WPG @ CGY
4 - 3
Oct 24, 2025
CGY @ WPG
3 - 5
Oct 20, 2025
WPG @ CGY
2 - 1
Oct 3, 2025
WPG @ CGY
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CGY @ WPG
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+181.5% more
Winnipeg: 38.3
vs
Calgary: 13.6
Takeaways (L5)
+33.0% more
Calgary: 2.7
vs
Winnipeg: 1.8
Power Play % (L5)
+19.8%
Calgary: 32.5%
vs
Winnipeg: 12.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.6%
Calgary: 51.0%
vs
Winnipeg: 45.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.2
2
WPG Score
3.1
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
CGY
WPG
CGY
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
