MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
69-91 | Road
5
PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
95-65 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kody Funderburk
#57 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Mayza
#37 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kody Funderburk | None-None | 3.51 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Tim Mayza | None-None | 3.78 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.51 Ldr
ERA
3.78
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
34%
PHILLIES
66%
TWINS
--
PHILLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around PHI -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
MIN By 1-2 runs
17.9%
MIN By 3-4 runs
12.8%
PHI By 1-2 runs
18.8%
PHI By 3-4 runs
14.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
4.97
MINNESOTA
Philadelphia
5.24
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Phillies
Loss
66% Win Prob
C
Sim
Phillies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Phillies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.3
D
Sim
Phillies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 16, 2026
PHI @ MIN
7 - 5
Aug 15, 2026
PHI @ MIN
9 - 1
Aug 13, 2026
PHI @ MIN
7 - 1
Sep 28, 2025
MIN @ PHI
1 - 2
Sep 27, 2025
MIN @ PHI
5 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Philadelphia
PHI
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
3.50
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.286
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.438
.720
OPS
▲
.724
187
▲
Home Runs
3
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+69.9% more
Philadelphia: 1.9
vs
Minnesota: 1.1
Total Bases (L5)
+30.8% more
Philadelphia: 15.4
vs
Minnesota: 11.8
Hits (L5)
+24.3% more
Philadelphia: 8.3
vs
Minnesota: 6.7
Slugging Pct (Season)
+3.5%
Philadelphia: 43.8%
vs
Minnesota: 40.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
5.0
5
PHI Score
5.2
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.7
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.3 / 6.7
7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.9 / 1.1
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 9.9
11.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
15.4 / 11.8
7.0 / 22.0
Walks
1.7 / 2.0
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
PHI
Advantage
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MIN
PHI
MIN
ML
59%
97-67
52%
84-78
49%
80-84
50%
80-81
ATS
65%
107-57
59%
95-67
51%
83-81
59%
95-66
TTL
57%
88-67-9
51%
78-75-9
51%
78-76-9
53%
80-72-9
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