Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Mariners LAD @ SEA

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

90-69  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Sep 26 • 9:40 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

90-69  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
@
Gabe Speier
STARTING PITCHER

Gabe Speier

#55 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tanner Scott None-None 4.74 -- 1.0 2
Gabe Speier None-None 2.51 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
4.74 ERA Ldr 2.51
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
50%
📊
MARINERS
50%
DODGERS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
13.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 74%
Under 0 26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

63.7%

Mariners Cover

36.3%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

17.2%

SEA By 1-2 runs

15.3%

SEA By 3-4 runs

9.5%

AI Model Projected Score
7.47
LOS ANGELES
6.07
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Mariners Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim Mariners (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 13.5
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 30, 2026 SEA @ LAD 2 - 6
Jul 29, 2026 SEA @ LAD 2 - 4
Jul 28, 2026 SEA @ LAD 7 - 6
Sep 28, 2025 LAD @ SEA 6 - 1
Sep 27, 2025 LAD @ SEA 5 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.762 ▲
OPS
.693
204 ▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +48.4% more
Los Angeles: 3.4 vs Seattle: 1.7
Runs per Game (Season) +17.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Seattle: 4.1
Home Runs (Season) +10.8% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Seattle: 182.0
Home Runs (L5) +8.9% more
Los Angeles: 2.4 vs Seattle: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 7.5 3
SEA Score 6.1 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.1 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 9.5 / 9.2 8.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 2.2 / 2.4 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 10.9 / 10.9 14.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 17.6 / 18.0 10.0 / 10.0
Walks 1.7 / 3.4 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD Advantage
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LAD
SEA
LAD
ML
50% 81-81
56% 92-73
52% 85-77
48% 79-87
ATS
60% 98-64
59% 98-67
59% 95-67
43% 72-94
TTL
56% 85-67-10
48% 77-82-6
53% 81-71-10
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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