Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest GT @ WAKE

GEORGIA TECH

GEORGIA TECHGT

4-0  |  Road

30
FINAL
Sat, Sep 27 • 12:00 PM ET
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

WAKE FORESTWAKE

2-1  |  Home

29
Key Game
Aidan Birr
KEY GAME

Aidan Birr

#33 | Place kicker
@
Connor Calvert
KEY GAME

Connor Calvert

#90 | Place kicker
Player
Aidan Birr None-None
Connor Calvert None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GEORGIA TECH
0%
📊
WAKE FOREST
100%
GEORGIA TECH --
WAKE FOREST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
62.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Georgia TechGT (-3.5) 0 Wake ForestWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Georgia Tech Cover

99.9%

Wake Forest Cover

0.1%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around GT -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

GT By 1-6 points

0.4%

GT By 7-13 points

1.5%

WAKE By 1-6 points

0.1%

WAKE By 7-13 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
52
GEORGIA TECH
10
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
24
GEORGIA TECH
28
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Georgia Tech Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Wake Forest Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Georgia Tech (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
C
Sim Wake Forest (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 62.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2025 GT @ WAKE 30 - 29
Sep 23, 2023 GT @ WAKE 30 - 16
Oct 21, 2017 WAKE @ GT 24 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +44.1% more
Georgia Tech: 238.4 vs Wake Forest: 133.3
Total Yards (L5) +21.0% more
Georgia Tech: 466.8 vs Wake Forest: 368.5
First Downs (L5) +16.1% more
Georgia Tech: 20.6 vs Wake Forest: 17.3
Turnovers (L5) +61.9% more
Wake Forest: 1.9 vs Georgia Tech: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GT Score 52.0 30
WAKE Score 10.0 29
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.3 / 20.6 20.0 / 27.0
Rushing Yards 133.3 / 238.4 210.0 / 163.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.44
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.45 / 0.55
Total Yards 368.5 / 466.8 443.0 / 411.0
Turnovers 1.9 / 1.2 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
WAKE Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 13.6 ATS +/-: +10.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
WAKE Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.6 ATS +/-: +10.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
WAKE
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
GT
WAKE
GT
ML
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
ATS
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
TTL
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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