RICE
RICERICE
3-1 | Road
13
NAVY
NAVYNAVY
3-0 | Home
21
Key Game
KEY GAME
Enock Gota
#28 | Place kicker@
KEY GAME
Jacob Carlson
#11 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Enock Gota | None-None |
| Jacob Carlson | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RICE
0%
NAVY
100%
RICE
--
NAVY
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
RICE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Rice)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around RICE -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICE)
RICE By 1-6 points
8.6%
RICE By 7-13 points
15.4%
NAVY By 1-6 points
4.2%
NAVY By 7-13 points
2.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Rice
32
RICE
Navy
12
NAVY
Simulated Score
Rice
20
RICE
Navy
24
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rice
Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Navy
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rice (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
C
Sim
Navy (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2025
RICE @ NAVY
13 - 21
Nov 2, 2024
NAVY @ RICE
10 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+52.0% more
Navy: 1.2
vs
Rice: 0.7
Rushing Yards (L5)
+41.6% more
Navy: 327.1
vs
Rice: 230.9
Total Yards (L5)
+22.4% more
Navy: 439.1
vs
Rice: 358.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+14.0% more
Navy: 0.5
vs
Rice: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICE Score
32.0
13
NAVY Score
12.0
21
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
20.9 / 20.2
19.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards
327.1 / 230.9
283.0 / 120.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.5 / 0.4
0.58 / 0.27
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.6
0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards
439.1 / 358.8
455.0 / 234.0
Turnovers
1.2 / 0.7
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: -9.4
ATS +/-: +1.5
NAVY
Advantage
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: -9.4
ATS +/-: +1.5
NAVY
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -3.7
NAVY
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
RICE
NAVY
RICE
ML
25%
1-3
100%
5-0
100%
4-0
80%
4-1
ATS
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
100%
4-0
40%
2-3
TTL
0%
0-4
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
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