Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Washington St @ Colorado St WSU @ CSU

WASHINGTON STATE

WASHINGTON STWSU

2-2  |  Road

20
FINAL
Sat, Sep 27 • 7:30 PM ET
Canvas Stadium
View Odds Details →

COLORADO STATE

COLORADO STCSU

1-2  |  Home

3
Key Game
Jack Stevens
KEY GAME

Jack Stevens

#38 | Place kicker
@
Dagan Myers
KEY GAME

Dagan Myers

#3 | Safety
Player
Jack Stevens None-None
Dagan Myers None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WASHINGTON ST
0%
📊
COLORADO ST
100%
WASHINGTON ST --
COLORADO ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
74.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Washington State)
Washington StWSU (-3.5) 0 Colorado StCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Washington St Cover

80.4%

Colorado St Cover

19.6%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around WSU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)

WSU By 1-6 points

14.2%

WSU By 7-13 points

19.5%

CSU By 1-6 points

9.3%

CSU By 7-13 points

5.9%

AI Model Projected Score
43
WASHINGTON STATE
31
COLORADO STATE
Simulated Score
20
WASHINGTON STATE
31
COLORADO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Washington St Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Colorado St Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Washington St (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
C
Sim Colorado St (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 74.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2025 WSU @ CSU 20 - 3
Sep 2, 2023 WSU @ CSU 50 - 24
Sep 17, 2022 CSU @ WSU 7 - 38
Dec 21, 2013 WSU @ CSU 45 - 48
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +26.7% more
Washington State: 2.5 vs Colorado State: 1.8
Rushing Yards (L5) +123.5% more
Colorado State: 155.9 vs Washington State: 69.8
Total Yards (L5) +18.7% more
Colorado State: 384.9 vs Washington State: 324.3
First Downs (L5) +9.0% more
Colorado State: 20.9 vs Washington State: 19.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSU Score 43.0 20
CSU Score 31.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.9 / 19.2 20.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 155.9 / 69.8 146.0 / 158.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.38 / 0.42
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 384.9 / 324.3 334.0 / 347.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 2.5 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
CSU Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
CSU
2-2-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.7
CSU
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +20.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSU
WSU
CSU
WSU
ML
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
100% 5-0
ATS
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
TTL
0% 0-4
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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