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NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

0-0-0  |  Road

5
FINAL
Thu, Sep 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

0-0-0  |  Home

4
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
RANGERS
0%
ISLANDERS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

16.5%

Rangers Cover

83.5%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)

NYI By 1 goal

6.8%

NYI By 2-3 goals

3.9%

NYR By 1 goal

17.7%

NYR By 2-3 goals

37.0%

AI Model Projected Score
2.05
NEW YORK
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rangers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rangers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 NYI @ NYR 2 - 5
Jan 29, 2026 NYI @ NYR 2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026 NYR @ NYI 2 - 5
Dec 27, 2025 NYR @ NYI 0 - 2
Nov 8, 2025 NYI @ NYR 5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +11.9%
New York: 18.9% vs New York: 7.0%
Blocked Shots (L5) +22.8% more
New York: 17.5 vs New York: 13.5
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.6% more
New York: 33.4 vs New York: 26.8
Takeaways (L5) +9.1% more
New York: 4.3 vs New York: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 2.1 5
NYR Score 4.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
NYI
NYR
NYI
ML
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
40% 2-3
67% 2-1
ATS
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
33% 1-2
TTL
60% 3-2
100% 2-0-1
60% 3-2
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 6 hours, 55 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 12 hours, 55 minutes ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 12 hours ago