BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
0-0-0 | Road
2
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
0-0-0 | Home
5
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
RED WINGS
0%
SABRES
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
BUF By 1 goal
12.6%
BUF By 2-3 goals
10.0%
DET By 1 goal
19.7%
DET By 2-3 goals
28.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
3.09
BUFFALO
Detroit
4.01
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 27, 2026
DET @ BUF
5 - 2
Nov 15, 2025
BUF @ DET
5 - 4
Oct 22, 2025
DET @ BUF
2 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
DET @ BUF
2 - 5
Sep 25, 2025
BUF @ DET
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.7% more
Detroit: 15.8
vs
Buffalo: 12.8
Takeaways (L5)
+18.1% more
Detroit: 3.7
vs
Buffalo: 3.1
Power Play % (L5)
+7.6%
Detroit: 23.0%
vs
Buffalo: 15.4%
Hits (L5)
+29.2% more
Buffalo: 26.2
vs
Detroit: 18.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
3.1
2
DET Score
4.0
5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
BUF
DET
BUF
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
Alex Ovechkin Announces Final NHL Season: Capitals Legend Set fo…
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets