Home / NHL Projections NHL / Stars @ Wild DAL @ MIN

DALLAS

STARSDAL

0-0-0  |  Road

5
FINAL
Thu, Sep 25 • 8:00 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

0-0-0  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
📊
WILD
100%
STARS --
WILD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Dallas)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 WildMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

53.0%

Wild Cover

47.0%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

DAL By 1 goal

18.1%

DAL By 2-3 goals

20.3%

MIN By 1 goal

16.8%

MIN By 2-3 goals

17.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2.3
DALLAS
2.15
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wild Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Stars (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim Wild (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 30, 2026 DAL @ MIN 2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026 MIN @ DAL 4 - 2
Apr 25, 2026 DAL @ MIN 2 - 3
Apr 22, 2026 DAL @ MIN 4 - 3
Apr 18, 2026 MIN @ DAL 6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +20.7%
Dallas: 34.0% vs Minnesota: 13.3%
Hits (L5) +8.1% more
Dallas: 28.4 vs Minnesota: 26.1
Faceoff % (L5) +7.6%
Dallas: 53.5% vs Minnesota: 45.9%
Blocked Shots (L5) +44.8% more
Minnesota: 19.6 vs Dallas: 13.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 2.3 5
MIN Score 2.2 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
DAL
MIN
DAL
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
si 57 minutes ago
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 7 hours, 8 minutes ago
Juszczyk Wins Appeal, Padres Stay Alive, Messi Bids Farewell in …
rutlandherald 1 day, 6 hours ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Bryan Baker's Dominance Out of Bullpen Puts Rays One Win from AL…
si 1 day, 12 hours ago