COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
43-115 | Road
2
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
89-69 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Zach Agnos
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Emerson Hancock
#26 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Agnos | None-None | 6.75 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Emerson Hancock | None-None | 4.90 | -- | 4.0 | 7 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.75
ERA
Ldr 4.90
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 4.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
22%
MARINERS
78%
ROCKIES
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.6
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.6 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -4.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
COL By 1-2 runs
6.2%
COL By 3-4 runs
2.6%
SEA By 1-2 runs
14.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
19.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.5
COLORADO
Seattle
7.13
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
78% Win Prob
B
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.6
B
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.6
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
SEA @ COL
2 - 1
Sep 19, 2026
SEA @ COL
3 - 5
Sep 18, 2026
SEA @ COL
5 - 4
Sep 25, 2025
COL @ SEA
2 - 6
Sep 24, 2025
COL @ SEA
2 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.739
▲
OPS
.693
180
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+199.0% more
Seattle: 2.7
vs
Colorado: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+121.6% more
Seattle: 19.5
vs
Colorado: 8.8
Hits (L5)
+76.4% more
Seattle: 9.2
vs
Colorado: 5.2
Walks (L5)
+49.8% more
Colorado: 2.2
vs
Seattle: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.5
2
SEA Score
7.1
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.2 / 5.2
10.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
2.7 / 0.8
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 10.1
13.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
19.5 / 8.8
14.0 / 11.0
Walks
1.1 / 2.2
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
COL
SEA
COL
ML
50%
81-81
60%
97-64
52%
85-77
55%
88-73
ATS
60%
98-64
60%
97-64
59%
95-67
52%
83-78
TTL
56%
85-67-10
60%
93-62-6
53%
81-71-10
50%
77-78-6
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