Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ Cardinals SEA @ ARI

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

2-1  |  Road

23
FINAL
Thu, Sep 25 • 8:15 PM ET
State Farm Stadium
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

2-1  |  Home

20
Key Game
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
@
Blake Gillikin
KEY GAME

Blake Gillikin

#12 | Punter
Player
Michael Dickson None-None
Blake Gillikin None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
CARDINALS
100%
SEAHAWKS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.6
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.6 points (Seattle)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 CardinalsARI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

65.5%

Cardinals Cover

34.5%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SEA -5.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1-6 points

16.8%

SEA By 7-13 points

18.8%

ARI By 1-6 points

13.8%

ARI By 7-13 points

10.8%

AI Model Projected Score
25.27
SEATTLE
19.69
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
20
SEATTLE
27
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.6
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 SEA @ ARI 31 - 7
Nov 9, 2025 ARI @ SEA 22 - 44
Sep 25, 2025 SEA @ ARI 23 - 20
Dec 8, 2024 SEA @ ARI 30 - 18
Nov 24, 2024 ARI @ SEA 6 - 16
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +60.7% more
Seattle: 1.4 vs Arizona: 0.5
Net Passing Yards (L5) +14.9% more
Seattle: 221.2 vs Arizona: 188.3
Yards Per Play (L5) +9.3% more
Seattle: 5.7 vs Arizona: 5.2
Rushing Yards (L5) +19.4% more
Arizona: 118.8 vs Seattle: 99.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 25.3 23
ARI Score 19.7 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.7 / 19.1 18.0 / 20.0
Net Passing Yards 188.3 / 221.2 164.0 / 229.0
Rushing Yards 118.8 / 99.5 89.0 / 155.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.4 / 0.46
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 307.1 / 320.7 253.0 / 384.0
Turnovers 0.5 / 1.4 2.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.2 / 5.7 4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
ARI
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
ARI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
SEA
ARI
SEA
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 1-1-2
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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