AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
HURRICANES
100%
PANTHERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
18.3%
FLA By 2-3 goals
36.1%
CAR By 1 goal
7.6%
CAR By 2-3 goals
4.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
4.46
FLORIDA
Carolina
2.67
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.8
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 0
Jan 16, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 9
Dec 23, 2025
FLA @ CAR
5 - 2
Sep 29, 2025
CAR @ FLA
3 - 4
Sep 24, 2025
FLA @ CAR
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.6% more
Florida: 15.9
vs
Carolina: 12.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.9% more
Florida: 27.9
vs
Carolina: 25.4
Power Play % (L5)
+4.1%
Florida: 16.0%
vs
Carolina: 12.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Carolina: 53.5%
vs
Florida: 51.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
4.5
4
CAR Score
2.7
2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
FLA
CAR
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4