AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
0%
PENGUINS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
PIT By 1 goal
16.8%
PIT By 2-3 goals
17.1%
CBJ By 1 goal
18.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
20.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
3.59
PITTSBURGH
Columbus
3.74
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
CBJ @ PIT
4 - 3
Jan 4, 2026
PIT @ CBJ
5 - 4
Nov 28, 2025
PIT @ CBJ
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+32.9% more
Columbus: 13.6
vs
Pittsburgh: 10.2
Takeaways (L5)
+49.1% more
Pittsburgh: 5.3
vs
Columbus: 2.7
Power Play % (L5)
+22.5%
Pittsburgh: 42.8%
vs
Columbus: 20.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.9%
Pittsburgh: 51.1%
vs
Columbus: 46.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
3.6
1
CBJ Score
3.7
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
PIT
CBJ
PIT
ML
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
100%
2-0
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-2
50%
2-2