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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

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1
FINAL
Wed, Sep 24 • 10:00 PM ET
Abbotsford Entertainment Centre
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

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3
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
📊
CANUCKS
0%
FLAMES --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Vancouver)
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

46.6%

Canucks Cover

53.4%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

CGY By 1 goal

16.7%

CGY By 2-3 goals

16.9%

VAN By 1 goal

18.1%

VAN By 2-3 goals

20.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.8
CALGARY
2.97
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
3
CALGARY
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canucks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canucks Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canucks (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim Canucks (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 CGY @ VAN 1 - 4
Mar 28, 2026 VAN @ CGY 3 - 7
Nov 23, 2025 CGY @ VAN 5 - 2
Oct 9, 2025 CGY @ VAN 1 - 5
Oct 1, 2025 VAN @ CGY 8 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +26.1% more
Vancouver: 25.7 vs Calgary: 20.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +30.1% more
Calgary: 14.9 vs Vancouver: 10.4
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.3% more
Calgary: 30.1 vs Vancouver: 24.3
Power Play % (L5) +17.8%
Calgary: 32.5% vs Vancouver: 14.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 2.8 1
VAN Score 3.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
CGY
VAN
CGY
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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