CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
58-99 | Road
1
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
89-68 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Colson Montgomery
#12 | Shortstop@
STARTING PITCHER
Paul Blackburn
#58 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colson Montgomery | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Paul Blackburn | None-None | 6.32 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
6.32
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
31%
YANKEES
69%
WHITE SOX
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
72%
Under 0
28%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
7.8%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.95
CHICAGO
New York
4.94
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
White Sox (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.9
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 30, 2026
NYY @ CHW
1 - 2
Jul 29, 2026
NYY @ CHW
5 - 6
Jul 28, 2026
NYY @ CHW
3 - 2
Jul 27, 2026
NYY @ CHW
9 - 5
Jun 18, 2026
CHW @ NYY
5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
New York
NYY
1
Games Played
1
6.00
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.324
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.415
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.826
OPS
▲
1.041
1
Home Runs
▲
2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+57.5% more
New York: 9.7
vs
Chicago: 6.2
Total Bases (L5)
+52.1% more
New York: 14.3
vs
Chicago: 9.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+50.0% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Chicago: 6.0
Home Runs (L5)
+31.0% more
New York: 1.1
vs
Chicago: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.0
1
NYY Score
4.9
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.7 / 6.2
10.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.8
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 10.5
8.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
14.3 / 9.4
23.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.0 / 4.0
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
CHW
NYY
CHW
ML
47%
76-85
49%
81-86
52%
85-77
56%
94-73
ATS
59%
95-66
59%
99-68
53%
86-76
56%
93-74
TTL
53%
81-73-7
58%
96-69-2
53%
82-72-7
51%
84-81-2
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