LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
88-69 | Road
5
ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
80-77 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Justin Wrobleski
#70 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brandyn Garcia
#55 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski | None-None | 4.45 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Brandyn Garcia | None-None | 3.95 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.45
ERA
Ldr 3.95
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
55%
DIAMONDBACKS
45%
DODGERS
--
DIAMONDBACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Arizona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ARI -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)
LAD By 1-2 runs
17.3%
LAD By 3-4 runs
11.8%
ARI By 1-2 runs
19.2%
ARI By 3-4 runs
15.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.01
LOS ANGELES
Arizona
5.6
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Arizona
5
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Diamondbacks
Loss
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
Diamondbacks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Diamondbacks (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
C
Sim
Diamondbacks (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.6
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 4
Aug 8, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 1
Aug 7, 2026
LAD @ ARI
3 - 4
Jul 12, 2026
ARI @ LAD
5 - 3
Jul 11, 2026
ARI @ LAD
9 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Arizona
ARI
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.246
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.318
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.762
▲
OPS
.720
204
▲
Home Runs
166
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+49.9% more
Arizona: 10.3
vs
Los Angeles: 6.9
Total Bases (L5)
+15.3% more
Arizona: 16.1
vs
Los Angeles: 14.0
Errors (L5)
+11.0% more
Arizona: 0.4
vs
Los Angeles: 0.3
Home Runs (L5)
+32.8% more
Los Angeles: 1.8
vs
Arizona: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.0
5
ARI Score
5.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.3 / 6.9
9.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.8
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 11.0
13.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
16.1 / 14.0
11.0 / 17.0
Walks
3.0 / 4.0
1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ARI
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
LAD
ARI
LAD
ML
54%
87-74
56%
92-73
54%
86-74
48%
79-87
ATS
57%
91-70
59%
98-67
56%
89-71
43%
72-94
TTL
52%
80-73-8
48%
77-82-6
49%
73-77-9
44%
70-90-6
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