COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
43-114 | Road
2
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
88-69 | Home
9
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Gordon
#29 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
J.P. Crawford
#3 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Gordon | None-None | 6.33 | -- | 3.1 | 3 |
| J.P. Crawford | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.33
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
3.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
3
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
23%
MARINERS
77%
ROCKIES
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.5
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.5 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -4.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
COL By 1-2 runs
6.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
2.8%
SEA By 1-2 runs
15.0%
SEA By 3-4 runs
19.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.41
COLORADO
Seattle
6.89
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
77% Win Prob
B
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.5
C
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.3
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
SEA @ COL
2 - 1
Sep 19, 2026
SEA @ COL
3 - 5
Sep 18, 2026
SEA @ COL
5 - 4
Sep 25, 2025
COL @ SEA
2 - 6
Sep 24, 2025
COL @ SEA
2 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.739
▲
OPS
.693
180
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+100.0% more
Seattle: 1.6
vs
Colorado: 0.6
Errors (L5)
+51.0% more
Seattle: 0.8
vs
Colorado: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+29.8% more
Seattle: 13.2
vs
Colorado: 10.2
Walks (L5)
+59.0% more
Colorado: 2.8
vs
Seattle: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.4
2
SEA Score
6.9
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.8 / 6.8
14.0 / 2.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 0.6
5.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.2 / 11.2
11.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.2 / 10.2
32.0 / 6.0
Walks
1.1 / 2.8
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
COL
SEA
COL
ML
50%
81-81
60%
97-64
52%
85-77
55%
88-73
ATS
60%
98-64
60%
97-64
59%
95-67
52%
83-78
TTL
56%
85-67-10
60%
93-62-6
53%
81-71-10
50%
77-78-6
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