COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
0-0-0 | Road
1
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
0-0-0 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
SABRES
0%
BLUE JACKETS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
CBJ By 1 goal
12.3%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
9.6%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3.32
COLUMBUS
Buffalo
4.29
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
3 - 6
Apr 9, 2026
CBJ @ BUF
0 - 5
Jan 3, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
1 - 5
Oct 28, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
4 - 3
Sep 23, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+37.1% more
Buffalo: 4.1
vs
Columbus: 3.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.6% more
Buffalo: 30.8
vs
Columbus: 28.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.9%
Buffalo: 48.0%
vs
Columbus: 46.2%
Power Play % (L5)
+4.9%
Columbus: 20.3%
vs
Buffalo: 15.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.3
1
BUF Score
4.3
2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
CBJ
BUF
CBJ
ML
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
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