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MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

0-0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Sep 23 • 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

0-0-0  |  Home

3
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
📊
STARS
0%
WILD --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Dallas)
WildMIN (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wild Cover

39.0%

Stars Cover

61.0%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

MIN By 1 goal

14.7%

MIN By 2-3 goals

13.0%

DAL By 1 goal

19.3%

DAL By 2-3 goals

24.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2.27
MINNESOTA
2.83
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
MINNESOTA
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 30, 2026 DAL @ MIN 2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026 MIN @ DAL 4 - 2
Apr 25, 2026 DAL @ MIN 2 - 3
Apr 22, 2026 DAL @ MIN 4 - 3
Apr 18, 2026 MIN @ DAL 6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +20.7%
Dallas: 34.0% vs Minnesota: 13.3%
Faceoff % (L5) +7.6%
Dallas: 53.5% vs Minnesota: 45.9%
Blocked Shots (L5) +30.9% more
Minnesota: 19.6 vs Dallas: 13.5
Takeaways (L5) +23.0% more
Minnesota: 3.7 vs Dallas: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 2.3 2
DAL Score 2.8 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
MIN
DAL
MIN
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
100% 4-0
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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