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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

58-98  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Sep 23 • 7:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

88-68  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Grant Taylor
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Taylor

#31 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tim Hill
STARTING PITCHER

Tim Hill

#41 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Taylor None-None 5.05 -- 1.0 1
Tim Hill None-None 3.14 -- 0.2 1
None-None W-L None-None
5.05 ERA Ldr 3.14
-- WHIP --
1.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.2
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
31%
📊
YANKEES
69%
WHITE SOX --
YANKEES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 75%
Under 0 25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (New York)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 YankeesNYY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

28.3%

Yankees Cover

71.7%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

CHW By 1-2 runs

12.7%

CHW By 3-4 runs

7.1%

NYY By 1-2 runs

19.4%

NYY By 3-4 runs

18.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.7
CHICAGO
5
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
5
CHICAGO
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Yankees Win
69% Win Prob
C
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Yankees (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.3
D
Sim White Sox (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.7
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 30, 2026 NYY @ CHW 1 - 2
Jul 29, 2026 NYY @ CHW 5 - 6
Jul 28, 2026 NYY @ CHW 3 - 2
Jul 27, 2026 NYY @ CHW 9 - 5
Jun 18, 2026 CHW @ NYY 5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
New York NYY
1
Games Played
1
6.00
Runs / Game
▲ 9.00
.324
Avg (AVG)
▲ .375
.415
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .447
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .594
.826
OPS
▲ 1.041
1
Home Runs
▲ 2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +96.0% more
New York: 1.6 vs Chicago: 0.7
Total Bases (L5) +79.6% more
New York: 15.5 vs Chicago: 8.6
Hits (L5) +57.6% more
New York: 9.1 vs Chicago: 5.8
Runs per Game (Season) +50.0% more
New York: 9.0 vs Chicago: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 2.7 2
NYY Score 5.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.8 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.1 / 5.8 11.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 10.7 / 9.7 5.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 15.5 / 8.6 12.0 / 11.0
Walks 3.5 / 2.4 2.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
3%MONEY97%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
88-80-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6% Total +/-: +1.0
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
CHW
NYY
CHW
ML
47% 76-85
48% 81-87
52% 85-77
56% 94-74
ATS
59% 95-66
59% 99-69
53% 86-76
55% 93-75
TTL
53% 81-73-7
58% 97-69-2
53% 82-72-7
51% 85-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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