WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
64-93 | Road
2
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
74-83 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Orlando Ribalta
#64 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Ribalta | None-None | 6.38 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 3.31 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.38
ERA
Ldr 3.31
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
NATIONALS
44%
BRAVES
56%
NATIONALS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
44%
Under 0
56%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.6
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -2.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
WSH By 1-2 runs
11.7%
WSH By 3-4 runs
6.2%
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.0%
ATL By 3-4 runs
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3.08
WASHINGTON
Atlanta
5.71
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Atlanta
6
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Win
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.6
B
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
ATL @ WSH
9 - 0
Sep 1, 2026
ATL @ WSH
5 - 9
Aug 2, 2026
WSH @ ATL
2 - 4
Aug 1, 2026
WSH @ ATL
3 - 8
Jul 31, 2026
WSH @ ATL
2 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Washington
WSH
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
5.07
▲
Runs / Game
5.00
.246
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.321
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.324
.423
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.744
OPS
▲
.757
210
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+48.2% more
Atlanta: 11.8
vs
Washington: 7.9
Total Bases (L5)
+44.9% more
Atlanta: 18.8
vs
Washington: 12.9
Home Runs (L5)
+35.0% more
Atlanta: 1.6
vs
Washington: 1.2
Strikeouts (L5)
+23.5% more
Atlanta: 9.8
vs
Washington: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.1
2
ATL Score
5.7
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
11.8 / 7.9
6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.2
3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 8.0
10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
18.8 / 12.9
15.0 / 10.0
Walks
2.9 / 4.9
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
WSH
ATL
WSH
ML
46%
77-90
57%
92-69
54%
90-78
54%
87-74
ATS
57%
96-71
58%
93-68
52%
87-81
57%
91-70
TTL
53%
83-73-11
50%
77-78-6
49%
76-80-11
42%
65-90-6
Contextual Game News
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Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
Shohei Ohtani's Slump Raises Concerns for Dodgers in NLDS