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BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

0-0-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Mon, Sep 22 • 7:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
View Odds Details →

COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

0-0-0  |  Home

0
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
📊
BLUE JACKETS
0%
SABRES --
BLUE JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Columbus)
SabresBUF (-3.5) 0 Blue JacketsCBJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sabres Cover

35.4%

Blue Jackets Cover

64.6%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)

BUF By 1 goal

13.6%

BUF By 2-3 goals

11.4%

CBJ By 1 goal

19.6%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

26.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.66
BUFFALO
4.41
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
2
BUFFALO
3
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Jackets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jackets Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Jackets (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim Blue Jackets (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 1, 2026 BUF @ CBJ 3 - 6
Apr 9, 2026 CBJ @ BUF 0 - 5
Jan 3, 2026 BUF @ CBJ 1 - 5
Oct 28, 2025 CBJ @ BUF 4 - 3
Sep 23, 2025 CBJ @ BUF 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +30.2% more
Columbus: 19.7 vs Buffalo: 15.1
Power Play % (L5) +4.9%
Columbus: 20.3% vs Buffalo: 15.4%
Takeaways (L5) +27.1% more
Buffalo: 6.2 vs Columbus: 4.5
Faceoff % (L5) +1.9%
Buffalo: 48.0% vs Columbus: 46.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 3.7 4
CBJ Score 4.4 0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
BUF
CBJ
BUF
ML
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
100% 2-0
67% 2-1
ATS
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1
100% 3-0
TTL
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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