CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
83-71 | Road
8
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
66-88 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Slade Cecconi
#44 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Joe Ryan
#41 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slade Cecconi | None-None | 4.15 | -- | 7.0 | 8 |
| Joe Ryan | None-None | 3.47 | -- | 5.0 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.15
ERA
Ldr 3.47
--
WHIP
--
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
5.0
8 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
5
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
61%
TWINS
39%
GUARDIANS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CLE By 3-4 runs
16.9%
MIN By 1-2 runs
15.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
9.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
5.52
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
4.28
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
A
Sim
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CLE @ MIN
9 - 2
Sep 12, 2026
CLE @ MIN
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
CLE @ MIN
5 - 2
Jul 23, 2026
MIN @ CLE
3 - 1
Jul 22, 2026
MIN @ CLE
10 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.696
OPS
▲
.720
162
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+64.0% more
Cleveland: 1.0
vs
Minnesota: 0.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+25.9% more
Cleveland: 12.3
vs
Minnesota: 9.1
Total Bases (L5)
+14.9% more
Cleveland: 14.6
vs
Minnesota: 12.4
Walks (L5)
+21.2% more
Minnesota: 3.3
vs
Cleveland: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
5.5
8
MIN Score
4.3
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 1.0
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.4 / 8.8
3.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 0.8
0.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts
9.1 / 12.3
7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
12.4 / 14.6
5.0 / 27.0
Walks
3.3 / 2.7
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CLE
MIN
CLE
ML
52%
84-78
54%
87-74
50%
80-81
49%
80-82
ATS
59%
95-67
58%
93-68
59%
95-66
59%
95-67
TTL
51%
78-75-9
55%
88-71-2
53%
80-72-9
43%
69-90-2
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