CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
84-71 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
66-89 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hunter Gaddis
#33 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Travis Adams
#45 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Gaddis | None-None | 3.23 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
| Travis Adams | None-None | 6.97 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.23 Ldr
ERA
6.97
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
61%
TWINS
39%
GUARDIANS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
25%
Under 0
75%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.9
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.9 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -3.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
16.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
19.7%
MIN By 1-2 runs
8.2%
MIN By 3-4 runs
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
6.98
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
3.11
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Twins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.9
B
Sim
Twins (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CLE @ MIN
9 - 2
Sep 12, 2026
CLE @ MIN
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
CLE @ MIN
5 - 2
Jul 23, 2026
MIN @ CLE
3 - 1
Jul 22, 2026
MIN @ CLE
10 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.696
OPS
▲
.720
162
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+74.1% more
Cleveland: 2.2
vs
Minnesota: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+46.9% more
Cleveland: 18.7
vs
Minnesota: 10.0
Hits (L5)
+28.6% more
Cleveland: 9.2
vs
Minnesota: 6.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+27.1% more
Cleveland: 11.5
vs
Minnesota: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
7.0
2
MIN Score
3.1
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.7
2.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.6 / 9.2
10.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 2.2
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 11.5
6.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
10.0 / 18.7
19.0 / 7.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.5
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CLE
MIN
CLE
ML
52%
84-78
54%
87-74
50%
80-81
49%
80-82
ATS
59%
95-67
58%
93-68
59%
95-66
59%
95-67
TTL
51%
78-75-9
55%
88-71-2
53%
80-72-9
43%
69-90-2
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