MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
95-60 | Road
1
ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
75-80 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Riley O'Brien
#61 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 3.19 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Riley O'Brien | None-None | 1.97 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.19
ERA
Ldr 1.97
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
63%
CARDINALS
37%
BREWERS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around STL -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
18.3%
MIL By 3-4 runs
13.4%
STL By 1-2 runs
18.5%
STL By 3-4 runs
13.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
4.3
MILWAUKEE
St. Louis
4.37
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
St. Louis
5
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals
Win
37% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
STL @ MIL
4 - 6
Sep 26, 2026
STL @ MIL
2 - 3
Sep 25, 2026
STL @ MIL
4 - 8
Jul 9, 2026
MIL @ STL
8 - 4
Jul 8, 2026
MIL @ STL
1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
St. Louis
STL
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.44
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.313
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.378
.743
▲
OPS
.691
154
Home Runs
▲
167
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+47.1% more
St. Louis: 2.8
vs
Milwaukee: 1.9
Home Runs (Season)
+8.4% more
St. Louis: 167.0
vs
Milwaukee: 154.0
Errors (L5)
+76.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.9
vs
St. Louis: 0.1
Home Runs (L5)
+21.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.5
vs
St. Louis: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
4.3
1
STL Score
4.4
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.3 / 9.7
3.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 9.6
10.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
11.9 / 14.2
7.0 / 9.0
Walks
2.8 / 1.9
2.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
STL
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
MIL
STL
MIL
ML
53%
85-74
62%
101-61
52%
84-77
52%
84-78
ATS
56%
89-70
58%
94-68
53%
85-76
48%
78-84
TTL
46%
68-81-10
40%
62-92-8
50%
76-75-10
50%
77-77-8
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