Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Rockies LAA @ COL

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

70-85  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Sep 21 • 3:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

42-113  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Sam Bachman
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Bachman

#40 | Relief Pitcher
@
Juan Mejia
STARTING PITCHER

Juan Mejia

#47 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Sam Bachman None-None 5.19 -- 1.0 1
Juan Mejia None-None 3.68 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
5.19 ERA Ldr 3.68
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
69%
📊
ROCKIES
31%
ANGELS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

49.6%

Rockies Cover

50.4%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.4%

LAA By 3-4 runs

13.5%

COL By 1-2 runs

18.5%

COL By 3-4 runs

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3.28
LOS ANGELES
3.32
COLORADO
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rockies Win
31% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rockies (+0) Win
Proj Runs: 0.0
C
Sim Rockies (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.6
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 3, 2026 COL @ LAA 4 - 11
Jun 2, 2026 COL @ LAA 8 - 2
Jun 1, 2026 COL @ LAA 9 - 8
Sep 21, 2025 LAA @ COL 1 - 3
Sep 20, 2025 LAA @ COL 3 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.679
OPS
▲ .739
154
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +21.4% more
Colorado: 8.1 vs Los Angeles: 6.7
Home Runs (Season) +16.9% more
Colorado: 180.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season) +14.9% more
Colorado: 4.6 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season) +6.0%
Colorado: 73.9% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.3 1
COL Score 3.3 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.1 / 6.7 4.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 2.1 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.2 / 6.8 12.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 12.1 / 14.0 8.0 / 8.0
Walks 2.3 / 3.3 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA Advantage
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
LAA
COL
LAA
ML
60% 97-64
59% 96-66
55% 88-73
55% 89-73
ATS
60% 97-64
60% 97-65
52% 83-78
51% 82-80
TTL
60% 93-62-6
53% 83-74-5
50% 77-78-6
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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