Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / SE Louisiana @ LSU SELA @ LSU

SE LOUISIANA

SE LOUISIANASELA

2-1  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Sep 20 • 7:45 PM ET
Tiger Stadium (LA)
View Odds Details →

LSU

LSULSU

3-0  |  Home

56
Key Game
Carter Hanberry
KEY GAME

Carter Hanberry

#22 | Linebacker
@
Grant Chadwick
KEY GAME

Grant Chadwick

#90 | Punter
Player
Carter Hanberry None-None
Grant Chadwick None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SE LOUISIANA
100%
📊
LSU
0%
SE LOUISIANA --
LSU --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
76.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-64.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +64.0 points (LSU)
SE LouisianaSELA (-3.5) 0 LSULSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

SE Louisiana Cover

0.0%

LSU Cover

100.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LSU -64.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)

SELA By 1-6 points

0.0%

SELA By 7-13 points

0.0%

LSU By 1-6 points

0.0%

LSU By 7-13 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
6
SE LOUISIANA
70
LSU
Simulated Score
7
SE LOUISIANA
55
LSU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI LSU Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim LSU Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI LSU (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -64.0
C
Sim LSU (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 76.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 62.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2025 SELA @ LSU 10 - 56
Sep 8, 2018 SELA @ LSU 0 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +30.2% more
LSU: 363.6 vs SE Louisiana: 279.2
First Downs (L5) +13.4% more
LSU: 19.5 vs SE Louisiana: 17.2
Turnovers (L5) +44.3% more
SE Louisiana: 2.3 vs LSU: 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SELA Score 6.0 10
LSU Score 70.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.5 / 17.2 31.0 / 10.0
Rushing Yards 110.8 / 102.8 135.0 / 88.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.64 / 0.1
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.58 / 0.42
Total Yards 363.6 / 279.2 530.0 / 204.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 2.3 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SELA
--
LSU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 28.4 ATS +/-: +6.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SELA
--
LSU Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 28.4 ATS +/-: +6.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SELA
--
LSU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LSU
SELA
LSU
SELA
ML
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
ATS
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
TTL
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
0% 0-5
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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