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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

0-0-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Sep 20 • 7:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

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2
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
📊
STARS
0%
BLUES --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Dallas)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

26.1%

Stars Cover

73.9%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

STL By 1 goal

10.4%

STL By 2-3 goals

7.4%

DAL By 1 goal

19.6%

DAL By 2-3 goals

32.3%

AI Model Projected Score
1.9
ST. LOUIS
3.18
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 STL @ DAL 4 - 0
Feb 4, 2026 STL @ DAL 4 - 5
Jan 27, 2026 DAL @ STL 4 - 3
Jan 23, 2026 STL @ DAL 2 - 3
Oct 18, 2025 DAL @ STL 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +27.1%
Dallas: 34.0% vs St. Louis: 6.9%
Faceoff % (L5) +1.8%
Dallas: 53.5% vs St. Louis: 51.7%
Blocked Shots (L5) +32.5% more
St. Louis: 20.0 vs Dallas: 13.5
Hits (L5) +23.3% more
St. Louis: 41.8 vs Dallas: 32.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 1.9 1
DAL Score 3.2 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
STL
DAL
STL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
50% 1-1-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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