LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
69-85 | Road
3
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
42-112 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Fermin
#65 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ezequiel Tovar
#14 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Fermin | None-None | 4.73 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.73
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
68%
ROCKIES
32%
ANGELS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
LAA By 1-2 runs
17.7%
LAA By 3-4 runs
12.4%
COL By 1-2 runs
19.0%
COL By 3-4 runs
14.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.28
LOS ANGELES
Colorado
3.69
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rockies
Loss
32% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.4
C
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 3, 2026
COL @ LAA
4 - 11
Jun 2, 2026
COL @ LAA
8 - 2
Jun 1, 2026
COL @ LAA
9 - 8
Sep 21, 2025
LAA @ COL
1 - 3
Sep 20, 2025
LAA @ COL
3 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.64
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.679
OPS
▲
.739
154
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+37.7% more
Colorado: 9.6
vs
Los Angeles: 7.0
Total Bases (L5)
+21.1% more
Colorado: 15.7
vs
Los Angeles: 13.0
Home Runs (Season)
+16.9% more
Colorado: 180.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+14.9% more
Colorado: 4.6
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.3
3
COL Score
3.7
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.6 / 7.0
5.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 1.7
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
6.3 / 7.1
9.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
15.7 / 13.0
5.0 / 16.0
Walks
2.4 / 4.4
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
Advantage
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
LAA
COL
LAA
ML
60%
97-64
59%
96-66
55%
88-73
55%
89-73
ATS
60%
97-64
60%
97-65
52%
83-78
51%
82-80
TTL
60%
93-62-6
53%
83-74-5
50%
77-78-6
52%
82-75-5
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