Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Dodgers SF @ LAD

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

76-78  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sat, Sep 20 • 9:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

87-67  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
JT Brubaker
STARTING PITCHER

JT Brubaker

#34 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
JT Brubaker None-None 3.65 -- 2.1 3
Jack Dreyer None-None 2.80 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.65 ERA Ldr 2.80
-- WHIP --
2.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
3 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
43%
📊
DODGERS
57%
GIANTS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 47%
Under 0 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.8 points (Los Angeles)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

24.3%

Dodgers Cover

75.7%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

SF By 1-2 runs

11.2%

SF By 3-4 runs

5.9%

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.8%

LAD By 3-4 runs

19.4%

AI Model Projected Score
3.94
SAN FRANCISCO
6.73
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
6
SAN FRANCISCO
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Win
57% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.8
D
Sim Giants (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAD @ SF 5 - 1
Sep 26, 2026 LAD @ SF 4 - 3
Sep 25, 2026 LAD @ SF 2 - 0
Sep 20, 2026 SF @ LAD 1 - 3
Sep 19, 2026 SF @ LAD 4 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.706
OPS
▲ .762
178
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +134.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.9 vs San Francisco: 0.6
Strikeouts (L5) +120.6% more
Los Angeles: 12.3 vs San Francisco: 5.6
Walks (L5) +105.7% more
Los Angeles: 5.8 vs San Francisco: 2.8
Total Bases (L5) +87.9% more
Los Angeles: 15.6 vs San Francisco: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 3.9 5
LAD Score 6.7 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.6 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.8 / 5.4 9.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.9 / 0.6 4.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 12.3 / 5.6 12.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 15.6 / 8.3 22.0 / 12.0
Walks 5.8 / 2.8 6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
SF
LAD
SF
ML
56% 92-73
49% 79-81
48% 79-87
53% 85-75
ATS
59% 98-67
62% 100-60
43% 72-94
52% 83-77
TTL
48% 77-82-6
55% 82-68-10
44% 70-90-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 5 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 5 hours, 54 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 12 hours, 1 minute ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 18 hours, 5 minutes ago
Alex Cora Joins Growing List of Unavailable Managers for Seattle…
si 1 day, 5 hours ago