CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
81-71 | Road
6
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
66-86 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cade Smith
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kody Funderburk
#57 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Smith | None-None | 3.06 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Kody Funderburk | None-None | 3.89 | -- | 1.1 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.06 Ldr
ERA
3.89
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.1
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
60%
TWINS
40%
GUARDIANS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.4%
CLE By 3-4 runs
15.6%
MIN By 1-2 runs
17.0%
MIN By 3-4 runs
11.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
5.38
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
4.66
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
60% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
A
Sim
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CLE @ MIN
9 - 2
Sep 12, 2026
CLE @ MIN
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
CLE @ MIN
5 - 2
Jul 23, 2026
MIN @ CLE
3 - 1
Jul 22, 2026
MIN @ CLE
10 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.696
OPS
▲
.720
162
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+17.1% more
Cleveland: 10.4
vs
Minnesota: 8.6
Home Runs (Season)
+15.4% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Cleveland: 162.0
Walks (L5)
+11.8% more
Minnesota: 3.4
vs
Cleveland: 3.0
Hits (L5)
+9.8% more
Minnesota: 9.6
vs
Cleveland: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
5.4
6
MIN Score
4.7
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.5
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
9.6 / 8.7
6.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 1.2
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 10.4
10.0 / 16.0
Total Bases
15.2 / 14.9
7.0 / 14.0
Walks
3.4 / 3.0
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
87-79-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
81-84-1
O: 49.1% / U: 50.9%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CLE
MIN
CLE
ML
52%
84-78
54%
87-75
50%
80-81
49%
80-83
ATS
59%
95-67
57%
93-69
59%
95-66
58%
95-68
TTL
51%
78-75-9
56%
89-71-2
53%
80-72-9
44%
70-90-2
Contextual Game News
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