Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Dodgers SF @ LAD

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

76-77  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Sep 19 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

86-67  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Christian Koss
STARTING PITCHER

Christian Koss

#50 | Shortstop
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Christian Koss None-None -- -- -- --
Tanner Scott None-None 4.64 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 4.64
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
43%
📊
DODGERS
57%
GIANTS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 47%
Under 0 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.8 points (Los Angeles)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

24.5%

Dodgers Cover

75.5%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

SF By 1-2 runs

11.3%

SF By 3-4 runs

5.9%

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.8%

LAD By 3-4 runs

19.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
6.76
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
5
SAN FRANCISCO
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Win
57% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.8
D
Sim Giants (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAD @ SF 5 - 1
Sep 26, 2026 LAD @ SF 4 - 3
Sep 25, 2026 LAD @ SF 2 - 0
Sep 20, 2026 SF @ LAD 1 - 3
Sep 19, 2026 SF @ LAD 4 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.706
OPS
▲ .762
178
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5) +132.7% more
Los Angeles: 13.9 vs San Francisco: 6.0
Strikeouts (L5) +113.2% more
Los Angeles: 11.5 vs San Francisco: 5.4
Hits (L5) +103.0% more
Los Angeles: 8.2 vs San Francisco: 4.1
Home Runs (L5) +101.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.4 vs San Francisco: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.0 3
LAD Score 6.8 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.9 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.2 / 4.1 7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 0.4 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 11.5 / 5.4 14.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 13.9 / 6.0 19.0 / 13.0
Walks 6.1 / 3.2 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
SF
LAD
SF
ML
56% 92-73
49% 79-81
48% 79-87
53% 85-75
ATS
59% 98-67
62% 100-60
43% 72-94
52% 83-77
TTL
48% 77-82-6
55% 82-68-10
44% 70-90-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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