CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
80-71 | Road
3
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
85-67 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hunter Gaddis
#33 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Gaddis | None-None | 3.11 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 3.84 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.11 Ldr
ERA
3.84
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
47%
TIGERS
53%
GUARDIANS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
18.9%
CLE By 3-4 runs
14.5%
DET By 1-2 runs
17.8%
DET By 3-4 runs
12.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
4.92
CLEVELAND
Detroit
4.58
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
47% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.3
A
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
DET @ CLE
2 - 3
Sep 5, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 0
Sep 4, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 7
Aug 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
0 - 3
Aug 12, 2026
CLE @ DET
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.696
OPS
▲
.720
162
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+58.0% more
Cleveland: 0.7
vs
Detroit: 0.1
Hits (L5)
+20.3% more
Cleveland: 8.1
vs
Detroit: 6.4
Total Bases (L5)
+19.9% more
Cleveland: 13.4
vs
Detroit: 10.7
Walks (L5)
+65.1% more
Detroit: 4.2
vs
Cleveland: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
4.9
3
DET Score
4.6
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.4 / 8.1
5.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.8
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 10.6
11.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
10.7 / 13.4
7.0 / 18.0
Walks
4.2 / 2.6
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
87-79-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
81-84-1
O: 49.1% / U: 50.9%
Total +/-: +0.5
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
54%
86-73
54%
87-75
54%
87-73
49%
80-83
ATS
64%
101-58
57%
93-69
57%
91-69
58%
95-68
TTL
46%
69-81-9
56%
89-71-2
46%
69-81-10
44%
70-90-2
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox