SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
83-69 | Road
2
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
76-76 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Daniel Lynch IV
#41 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 1.54 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
| Daniel Lynch IV | None-None | 3.17 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.54 Ldr
ERA
3.17
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
55%
ROYALS
45%
MARINERS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.2%
KC By 1-2 runs
16.4%
KC By 3-4 runs
10.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.72
SEATTLE
Kansas City
4.77
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Kansas City
5
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 24, 2026
SEA @ KC
6 - 8
May 23, 2026
SEA @ KC
0 - 5
May 22, 2026
SEA @ KC
2 - 0
May 3, 2026
KC @ SEA
4 - 1
May 2, 2026
KC @ SEA
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Kansas City
KC
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.26
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.693
OPS
▲
.718
182
▲
Home Runs
170
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+40.0% more
Seattle: 0.6
vs
Kansas City: 0.2
Strikeouts (L5)
+31.1% more
Seattle: 9.7
vs
Kansas City: 6.7
Home Runs (L5)
+18.8% more
Seattle: 2.2
vs
Kansas City: 1.8
Total Bases (L5)
+11.9% more
Seattle: 21.1
vs
Kansas City: 18.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.7
2
KC Score
4.8
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.6 / 11.0
5.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 2.2
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
6.7 / 9.7
8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
18.6 / 21.1
6.0 / 7.0
Walks
2.9 / 2.6
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
KC
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
SEA
KC
SEA
ML
55%
89-72
50%
81-81
56%
90-70
52%
85-77
ATS
57%
91-70
60%
98-64
58%
93-67
59%
95-67
TTL
58%
90-64-7
56%
85-67-10
54%
83-70-7
53%
81-71-10
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