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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

69-83  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, Sep 18 • 7:40 PM ET
American Family Field
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

93-59  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Jose Fermin
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Fermin

#65 | Relief Pitcher
@
Abner Uribe
STARTING PITCHER

Abner Uribe

#45 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jose Fermin None-None 4.88 -- 0.1 --
Abner Uribe None-None 1.77 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
4.88 ERA Ldr 1.77
-- WHIP --
0.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
35%
📊
BREWERS
65%
ANGELS --
BREWERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 68%
Under 0 32%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (Milwaukee)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 BrewersMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

19.8%

Brewers Cover

80.2%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

LAA By 1-2 runs

9.5%

LAA By 3-4 runs

4.6%

MIL By 1-2 runs

17.7%

MIL By 3-4 runs

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
2.72
LOS ANGELES
6.11
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Brewers Win
65% Win Prob
C
Sim Brewers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Brewers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.4
D
Sim Brewers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.8
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 2, 2026 MIL @ LAA 0 - 3
Aug 1, 2026 MIL @ LAA 3 - 1
Jul 31, 2026 MIL @ LAA 6 - 2
Sep 18, 2025 LAA @ MIL 2 - 5
Sep 17, 2025 LAA @ MIL 2 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Milwaukee MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 5.14
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .341
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.679
OPS
▲ .743
154
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +95.1% more
Milwaukee: 9.2 vs Los Angeles: 4.7
Strikeouts (L5) +44.8% more
Milwaukee: 12.0 vs Los Angeles: 8.3
Total Bases (L5) +42.6% more
Milwaukee: 14.8 vs Los Angeles: 10.4
Runs per Game (Season) +27.2% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 2.7 2
MIL Score 6.1 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.7 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.2 / 4.7 9.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 1.8 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 12.0 / 8.3 16.0 / 2.0
Total Bases 14.8 / 10.4 12.0 / 12.0
Walks 2.4 / 5.2 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
LAA
MIL
LAA
ML
62% 101-61
59% 96-66
52% 84-78
55% 89-73
ATS
58% 94-68
60% 97-65
48% 78-84
51% 82-80
TTL
40% 62-92-8
53% 83-74-5
50% 77-77-8
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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