Home / NFL Projections NFL / Packers @ Browns GB @ CLE

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

2-0  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sun, Sep 21 • 1:00 PM ET
Huntington Bank Field
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

BROWNSCLE

0-2  |  Home

13
Key Game
Daniel Whelan
KEY GAME

Daniel Whelan

#19 | Punter
@
Corey Bojorquez
KEY GAME

Corey Bojorquez

#13 | Punter
Player
Daniel Whelan None-None
Corey Bojorquez None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PACKERS
0%
📊
BROWNS
100%
PACKERS --
BROWNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.7
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.7 points (Green Bay)
PackersGB (-3.5) 0 BrownsCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Packers Cover

73.3%

Browns Cover

26.7%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around GB -8.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)

GB By 1-6 points

15.8%

GB By 7-13 points

19.7%

CLE By 1-6 points

11.7%

CLE By 7-13 points

8.2%

AI Model Projected Score
24.84
GREEN BAY
16.13
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
20
GREEN BAY
24
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Packers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Browns Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Packers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.7
D
Sim Browns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 21, 2025 GB @ CLE 10 - 13
Dec 25, 2021 CLE @ GB 22 - 24
Dec 10, 2017 GB @ CLE 27 - 21
Oct 20, 2013 CLE @ GB 13 - 31
Oct 25, 2009 GB @ CLE 31 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +24.7% more
Green Bay: 122.6 vs Cleveland: 92.3
Yards Per Play (L5) +24.4% more
Green Bay: 5.9 vs Cleveland: 4.4
Total Yards (L5) +11.0% more
Green Bay: 341.5 vs Cleveland: 304.0
Turnovers (L5) +135.0% more
Cleveland: 2.3 vs Green Bay: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 24.8 10
CLE Score 16.1 13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.0 / 18.9 15.0 / 14.0
Net Passing Yards 211.7 / 218.9 125.0 / 149.0
Rushing Yards 92.3 / 122.6 96.0 / 81.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.31 / 0.56
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.43 / 0.57
Total Yards 304.0 / 341.5 221.0 / 230.0
Turnovers 2.3 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 4.4 / 5.9 3.9 / 3.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
CLE
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
GB
CLE
GB
ML
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
ATS
50% 2-2
0% 0-3-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2-1
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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