NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
84-67 | Road
10
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
66-85 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Fernando Cruz
#63 | RP@
STARTING PITCHER
Kody Funderburk
#57 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Cruz | None-None | 3.86 | -- | 1.1 | -- |
| Kody Funderburk | None-None | 4.04 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.86 Ldr
ERA
4.04
--
WHIP
--
1.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
62%
TWINS
38%
YANKEES
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.0%
NYY By 3-4 runs
14.7%
MIN By 1-2 runs
17.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
12.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
5.54
NEW YORK
Minnesota
5.15
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
C
Sim
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 16, 2026
NYY @ MIN
4 - 5
Sep 15, 2026
NYY @ MIN
8 - 1
Sep 14, 2026
NYY @ MIN
8 - 3
Jul 5, 2026
MIN @ NYY
6 - 1
Jul 4, 2026
MIN @ NYY
11 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Minnesota
MIN
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
1.041
▲
OPS
.720
2
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+49.3% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
OPS (Season)
+32.1%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Minnesota: 72.0%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+19.1%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Minnesota: 40.3%
Batting Avg (Season)
+13.0%
New York: 37.5%
vs
Minnesota: 24.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
5.5
10
MIN Score
5.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.3
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.8 / 9.5
11.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.9 / 1.2
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 7.9
8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
16.7 / 15.0
12.0 / 25.0
Walks
3.6 / 3.5
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
NYY
MIN
NYY
ML
52%
84-78
47%
76-85
50%
80-81
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
95-67
59%
95-66
59%
95-66
53%
86-76
TTL
51%
78-75-9
53%
81-73-7
53%
80-72-9
53%
82-72-7
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