Key Game
KEY GAME
Sam Spence
#47 | Place kicker@
KEY GAME
John Love
#17 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Sam Spence | None-None |
| John Love | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WOFFORD
100%
VIRGINIA TECH
0%
WOFFORD
--
VIRGINIA TECH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
29.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Virginia Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around VT -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)
WOF By 1-6 points
5.9%
WOF By 7-13 points
3.2%
VT By 1-6 points
10.7%
VT By 7-13 points
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Wofford
6
WOFFORD
Virginia Tech
23
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
Wofford
10
WOFFORD
Virginia Tech
45
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Virginia Tech
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Virginia Tech
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Virginia Tech (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
C
Sim
Virginia Tech (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 29.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2025
WOF @ VT
6 - 38
Sep 17, 2022
WOF @ VT
7 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+94.9% more
Virginia Tech: 140.7
vs
Wofford: 72.2
Turnovers (L5)
+79.0% more
Virginia Tech: 1.5
vs
Wofford: 0.8
Total Yards (L5)
+55.9% more
Virginia Tech: 348.6
vs
Wofford: 223.6
First Downs (L5)
+55.1% more
Virginia Tech: 19.2
vs
Wofford: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WOF Score
6.0
6
VT Score
23.0
38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
19.2 / 12.4
28.0 / 8.0
Rushing Yards
140.7 / 72.2
154.0 / -1.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.2
0.55 / 0.33
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.4
0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards
348.6 / 223.6
461.0 / 141.0
Turnovers
1.5 / 0.8
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
--
VT
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 21.4
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
--
VT
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 21.4
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
--
VT
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0%
Total +/-: +9.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
WOF
VT
WOF
ML
80%
4-1
100%
2-0
40%
2-3
100%
2-0
ATS
40%
2-3
100%
2-0
20%
1-4
100%
2-0
TTL
20%
1-4
50%
1-1
60%
3-2
0%
0-2