MICHIGAN
MICHIGANMICH
2-1 | Road
30
NEBRASKA
NEBRASKANEB
3-0 | Home
27
Key Game
KEY GAME
Kendrick Bell
#0 | Wide Receiver@
KEY GAME
Kyle Cunanan
#91 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Kendrick Bell | None-None |
| Kyle Cunanan | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
MICHIGAN
100%
NEBRASKA
0%
MICHIGAN
--
NEBRASKA
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
19.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NEB -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
MICH By 1-6 points
16.1%
MICH By 7-13 points
14.6%
NEB By 1-6 points
16.7%
NEB By 7-13 points
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Michigan
9
MICHIGAN
Nebraska
10
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
Michigan
17
MICHIGAN
Nebraska
31
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nebraska
Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Nebraska
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nebraska (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
C
Sim
Nebraska (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 19.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2025
MICH @ NEB
30 - 27
Sep 30, 2023
MICH @ NEB
45 - 7
Nov 12, 2022
NEB @ MICH
3 - 34
Oct 9, 2021
MICH @ NEB
32 - 29
Sep 22, 2018
NEB @ MICH
10 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5)
+22.9% more
Nebraska: 504.8
vs
Michigan: 410.6
First Downs (L5)
+21.9% more
Nebraska: 26.7
vs
Michigan: 21.9
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+8.0% more
Nebraska: 0.6
vs
Michigan: 0.5
Rushing Yards (L5)
+25.2% more
Michigan: 230.7
vs
Nebraska: 172.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MICH Score
9.0
30
NEB Score
10.0
27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
26.7 / 21.9
23.0 / 16.0
Rushing Yards
172.6 / 230.7
43.0 / 286.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.6 / 0.5
0.17 / 0.33
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards
504.8 / 410.6
351.0 / 391.0
Turnovers
0.8 / 0.8
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MICH
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -6.3
NEB
Advantage
5-0-0
(100.0%)
Margin: 29.4
ATS +/-: +8.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MICH
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -6.3
NEB
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 29.4
ATS +/-: +8.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MICH
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -5.9
NEB
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0%
Total +/-: +6.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
MICH
NEB
MICH
ML
100%
5-0
60%
3-2
80%
4-1
100%
5-0
ATS
20%
1-4
80%
4-1
40%
2-3
80%
4-1
TTL
60%
3-2
20%
1-4
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
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